Innovation Diffusion in Heterogeneous Populations: Contagion, Social Influence, and Social Learning By

نویسندگان

  • H. Peyton Young
  • Joshua Epstein
  • Edoardo Gallo
  • James Heckman
  • Josef Hofbauer
  • Charles Manski
  • David Myatt
  • Thomas Norman
  • Thomas Valente
  • Duncan Watts
  • Vijay Mahajan
  • Thomas W. Valente
چکیده

New ideas, products, and practices take time to diffuse, a fact that is often attributed to some form of heterogeneity among potential adopters. This paper examines three broad classes of diffusion models -contagion, social influence, and social learning – and shows how to incorporate heterogeneity into each at a high level of generality without losing analytical tractability. Each type of model leaves a characteristic ‘footprint’ on the shape of the adoption curve that provides a basis for discriminating empirically between them. The approach is illustrated using the classic study of Ryan and Gross on the diffusion of hybrid corn (JEL O33, D8, M3).

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تاریخ انتشار 2008